Alabama Extreme Weather And Storm Alert: What Do You Need To Know?
Teenagers’ extreme weather update As this big storm is headed near Alabama, we are still providing all team coverage to you. For a discussion of what you should expect overnight and into Saturday afternoon, we also want to introduce chief meteorologist Jason Simpson with meteorologist Taylor Cirillo. Alright, so we have some fresh ideas, new data, some forecast tweaks to fit you. So let us straight forwardly address it.
First of all tonight; before we stated alright after 10 o’clock; now we are beginning to view a nighttime event. Now we are going to stretch that a little bit farther to maybe say one two o’clock in the morning for scattered severe thunderstorms to move in and even the zone where they are traveling seems to be a little further north than maybe interstate 2059 at this point. That chance for tomorrow afternoon severe storms that linger into the evening.
And that’s the danger shown by the high risk zone spanning Alabama. The risk tonight is not the high that is really for tomorrow. Here is the revised schedule; we start at 1 AM in western Alabama and work across the eastern part of the state until roughly 8 AM. And it’s quite evident if you are say east of Mount Chiha, east of Rockford into Tallapoosa County, toward the Auburn region. For the nocturnal storms alone, there is no danger down that path.
This only through eight o’clock in the morning. Over the northwest edge of the state, your best opportunity Here is where we believe thunderstorms to be most likely. Here, now, is a hand-drawn perspective. Taylor and I have been debating where in the brighter zone here we believe the biggest hazard of storms would be. One can expect storms. We’ll refer to this as the probable zone.
Indeed, and therefore this is the area we are particularly looking for some storms to perhaps snip our state as we get into early tomorrow morning. Right now, we have this going on; we have an outbreak occurring in our northwest over portions of Missouri, Arkansas into Illinois. Many warnings for tornadoes close to the Saint Louis Metro. Many of the pink boxes you are seeing here are verified tornadoes, hence sadly our northwest is confirmed as well.
Tornado Outlook 2025
We are seeing this develop now; this is rather what we had anticipated. Indeed, already a significant outbreak under way. There have been reported several tornadoes. Rolla, MO West Plains, MO Alton, IL already claims a tornado. Taylor notably suggests this PDS tornado watch as a very risky scenario. Though it’s been around for a little more than ten years, it’s quite important. Having that tag on a watch makes a significant difference.
Not only is it a tornado watch, but it also means that tomorrow might be a dangerous day and I wouldn’t be surprised if at some time we had a PDS watch covering our portion of the state. Right now, it’s still our West. Early tomorrow morning, these storms will finally be affecting us; for now, we are delaying that watch as we observe those storms approaching our state very early. And among the counties most affected would be these ones. The storm environment is reasonably predicted by these forecast models. Regarding the actual place, they do rather poorly.
And that’s why we had sketched a blue zone here that even somewhat extends to the South, surpassing perhaps the extent of the storm you are seeing depicted on the future radar. They are viewing that whole zone. Late tomorrow morning, say after 8 AM, we get a sort of pause in the action, into the early afternoon.
However, that’s exactly when we should start observing how things behave to our West. Based on how things truly start to develop over Mississippi, to our west tomorrow, we are going to truly have a great indication for how this event will turn out in the afternoon. And here’s something else we hadn’t really addressed earlier: tomorrow morning’s absence of rain in Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Shelby County, Saint Clair County.
Right here down in Lowndes County, Montgomery County at 8 a.m., this place is clean. Over southeast Alabama, it is dazzling sunshine that will vect northward. We will so raise the temperature as the clouds fall away. We are going to elevate the humidity to increase the instability and create a quite well meshed, quite balanced storm system.
No, simply not is the answer. Indeed, at this point practically the whole state is in a moderate to a high risk. Simply said, the surroundings are favorable. Sadly for severe storms, not much will prevent us from witnessing those elements interact. The risk for possible tornadoes tomorrow is one of the key causes of our great risk; this is a thirty percent likelihood here.
That is not only a thirty-percent likelihood of a tornado now. Within 25 miles of your position, this represents a 30% probability of an EF2 or higher tornado. This is thus something you should give great thought when you see thirty%.
Severe Weather Outlook 2025
Although that doesn’t sound like a huge probability, Max is out at 60% and we are discussing the possibility of a tornado within 25 miles of your place. Since it doesn’t go higher than that, 30% from the Storm Prediction Center is a really large declaration.
Regarding confidence as well as the possible strength of these tornadoes. And when you have the hatching, you know when you look at it, that suggests that not only are they going to be powerful trees, but they may perhaps be the kind that linger on the ground and persist for some time. There are also long track tornadoes. Your chronology begins at roughly midday.
Starting around midday, this is the primary wave passing through Gracious through nine p.m. That’s quite some time. That is a long time for us to say, alright, between Aliceville and Tuscaloosa, you have nine hours to be concerned about this. You have nine hours between 2 p.m. and 11 p.m. between Birmingham and Hoover, Calera and Springville, Coleman and Oneonta.
There is usually some built-in ambiguity, hence we leave these somewhat broader than the actual start in times. But I am convinced that this will pass on Sunday morning between midnight and one o’clock, so we won’t have to stay up all night observing this; tomorrow looks bad though. No, and considering some of the storm modes helps us to generate many thoughts on how this could go.
These models do a wonderful job of illustrating to us that what we know is that this is not going to be a case where you just have one rapid line that comes through or looking along the line for quick spin-up tornadoes. Tomorrow’s is not the sort of day we have. We are looking at the possibility for super cells to evolve tomorrow. Therefore, any one of these storms you find on here could be generating tornadoes tomorrow.
And this is all occurring inside that period. And keep in mind that we have storms in Calhoun County, Pickens County, and in Hamilton and Coleman as well as some near Clinton and Calera in Talladega. This is a broad window. With this, there will also be possible flash floods; but, here is the good news.
Although I understand this can lead to a lot of anxiety, for now there’s plenty you can accomplish. You have still time to get ready. Make sure your friends and relatives are aware they should be considering the weather tomorrow. You have to have your own strategy. Right now, the biggest item to consider is should a tornado warning strike your area tomorrow, right now you should consider where you would be shortly after that warning is issued.
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